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Prediction markets

40 active markets · category “AI”

How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31
May 3199%
June 15
June 1599%2 more
$680KVol. Jul 31ai
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31
July 3199%
July 24
July 2498%8 more
$2.53MVol. Jul 31ai
Largest Company end of July?

Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA
NVIDIA83%
Company D
Company D50%27 more
$773KVol. Jul 31ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released on...?

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 771%
July 89%37 more
$287KVol. Jul 31ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA
NVIDIA61%
Alphabet
Alphabet17%26 more
$3.98MVol. Dec 31ai
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

32%

chance

YesNo
NEW $10KVol. Dec 31ai
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1490+1%
1470+1%2 more
$12KVol. Dec 31ai
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

July 17
July 1770%
No release by July 31
No release by July 3125%30 more
$41KVol. Jul 31ai
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

July 31
July 3177%
July 24
July 2473%7 more
$152KVol. Jul 31ai
Best AI model on July 4?

Best AI model on July 4?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking99%
claude-fable-51%3 more
$43KVol. Jul 4ai